O-Poker

I've been a slacker when it comes to updating the blog and playing poker. I've been busy both with work and life. I was working a lot, went out of town from Thurs - Sun, and played a bunch of PCA steps when I had the chance to play poker. I haven't played any cash games since last Wednesday.

I was swamped on Monday and Tuesday. We had some company in town Monday night and after a few beers, I decided that I didn't have the right mindset to play cash games. I decided to just play the MATH $10 rebuy - no other tourneys or cash games. That turned out to be a pretty good decision even though I was up until 2 AM.

I'm going to try to get back to grinding out some cash game hands tonight. I have played less than 3k hands of the 25k 1/2nl hands.

-------------------------

This is the first chance that I have had any time to follow up on the AK post, so here goes.

Hand 1
2/4 NL - 6 max
Just sat down at table. No reads/no data mined stats on players

Player 1 ($400)
Player 2 ($400)
Player 3 ($400)
Player 4 ($400) - Button
Player 5 ($400) - Small Blind
You ($400) - Big Blind

****Your Cards - AdKs******

Player 5 posts SB of $2
You post BB of $4
Player 1-3 folds

Button raises to $14
SB folds

Q1 - What do you do here?

RESULTS

Lucko - Reraise
Fuel55 - Reraise to $35
Gnome - Reraise
Me - Reraise to $35-$40

Every one was pretty much on the same page with this one. - Standard.

---------------------------------

Hand 2
Same Hand - No reads

2/4 NL - 6 max
Just sat down at table. No reads/no data mined stats on players

Player 1 ($400)
Player 2 ($400)
Player 3 ($400)
Player 4 ($400) - Button
Player 5 ($400) - Small Blind
You ($400) - Big Blind

****Your Cards - AdKs******

Player 5 posts SB of $2
You post BB of $4
Player 1-3 folds

Button raises to $14
SB raises to $48

Q2 - What do you do here?

RESULTS

Lucko - Reraise
Fuel55 - Jam or Fold (50/50)
Gnome - Fold
Me - Fold

If you raise, then you pretty much have to call a shove by the SB in my opinion.

I like getting my money in good if I'm getting it all in preflop in a cash game. The SB has shown that he at least has a pretty decent hand. With no reads you have to assume that the button will fold if you shove and the SB is calling with hands that dominate you or you are racing against. I don't think you can count on an unknown folding often enough to gain that much in fold equity here.

If I have a decent read after a lot of hands then I might play the hand completely different, but with no reads I'm folding most of the time.

--------------------------------
Hand 3

Same as Hand 1 - this time with stats.
The button is 14/10/1 (VP$P, PFR%, TAF over 10,000 mostly data mined hands) and has played fairly tight with the occasional button steal, but hasn't really gotten out of line.
Your stats for 60 hands at the table are 24/16/2. You have a fairly aggressive image and have 3 bet a few times without having to show down your hand.

Q3a - Whats your move?

Lucko - Reraise
Fuel55 - Fold
Gnome - Raise
Me - Raise

I think folding is way too tight here even against a nit. I am re-raising to probably $48. If he cold calls, I am firing on any flop and playing pretty cautiously after that.

---------------------
Let's say that you decide to raise to $48 and the button thinks for a few seconds and makes it $152.

Q3b - What is your move?

Lucko - Shove
Fuel55 - call and shove flop - pray he folds if we miss
Gnome - Fold
Me - Fold

A 14/10 play is pretty nitty. Unless I have a read/note that he 4 bets light, then I am folding here most of the time. I have flat called here in the past, but I think that is a -EV long term play. I can see the case for a shove, but against a nitty player I think it is again -EV long term. You are dominated a lot of the time, racing some of the time, and rarely ahead.

Q3C - Same hand - this time the button is 26/19/3. What is your move now?

Lucko - Shove
Fuel55 - call and shove flop - pray he folds if we miss
Gnome - Shove
Me - Shove

No brainer IMO. Button is so loose that you are usually way ahead of his range.

-----------------------

I really screwed up the questions here - I should have put some more breaks in between hands.

Hand 4

2/4 NL - 6 max
Just sat down at table. No reads/no data mined stats on players

Player 1 ($400)
Player 2 ($400)
Player 3 ($400)
You ($400) - Button
Player 5 ($400) - Small Blind
Player 6($400) - Big Blind

****Your Cards - AdKs******

Player 5 posts SB of $2
You post BB of $4
Player 1-3 folds

You raise to $14
SB folds
BB Raises to $48

Q4a - What's your move?

Lucko - About $142 to go
Fuel55 - Flat Call
Gnome - Raise
Me - Raise to around $148 to $152

Players (even unknowns) defend seem to defend their blinds against button opening raising way too lightly at 2/4 (at least on FTP). I'm raising and getting all-in preflop if he re-raises. I can see the case for the flat call, but it really takes control of the hand away from you even with position.

I screwed this part up - should have drawn lines.

Same hand - The Big Blind is 14/10/1 (VP$P, PFR%, TAF over 1,000 mostly data mined hands) and has played fairly tight, but hasn't really gotten out of line.

Your stats for 60 hands at the table are 24/16/2. You have a fairly aggressive image and have 3 bet a few times without having to show down your hand.

Q4b - What is your move?

Q4c - Same hand - this time the button is 26/19/3. What is your move now?

Lucko - About $142 to go
Fuel55 - Flat Call
Gnome - Raise
Me - Raise to around $148 to $152

This is obviously similar to 4a, but against a very loose player. Everyone was on the same page but Fuel. I don't understand a flat call against a guy this loose. He is going to bet big on any flop and you are in a tough spot if there is no Ace or King on the flop.

----------------------

I had a plan for this post when I posted it a few weeks ago. I felt like I was getting in against monsters way too often with AK, but after looking back over my pokertracker stats that isn't the case. It is more a case of selective memory. I'm actually way up with AK in pokertracker.

I do find that I wind up getting AI PF in bad shape with AK (ie - against nits) a lot more when I am running bad/ on a downswing.

I think the main theme of the AK post is that in most situations with Button vs. Blinds, it is+EV to get all-in preflop with AK against unknowns and loose players, but it needs to be played more cautiously against nitty TAGs.

****EDIT: Follow up to Lucko's comment:
"Folding AK in Q2 is defintely a mistake.

Saying you fold cuz you like getting it in good is just not good analysis here imo. Its like me saying jam cuz you like money. Both don't mean anything.

What ranges would you give unknowns in both of these spots? Then give them both calling ranges.

If you do the math and still say its -ev to get it in here I would be surprised."

I was going to respond in the comments, but figured it would be an easier read in the post.

Let's look at this as if you shove (assuming if you 4 bet here then you would call a shove) and assume the Button is folding every time

If I give the unknown SB a hand range of TT-AA, AKs, AKo, AQs, AQo, AJs then we are 43.8% vs 56.2%:


equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 56.162% 52.70% 03.47% 346496328 22785582.00 { TT+, AJs+ }
Hand 1: 43.838% 40.37% 03.47% 265457244 22785582.00 { AKo }

Expand his range to include 88 and 99 and we only improve to 44.1% vs 55.9%:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 55.904% 53.33% 02.57% 482171508 23258226.00 { 88+, AJs+ }
Hand 1: 44.096% 41.52% 02.57% 375408552 23258226.00 { AKo }

Expand to all pairs and it becomes 45% vs 55%:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 55.096% 53.57% 01.52% 880635420 25036464.00 { 22+, AJs+ }
Hand 1: 44.904% 43.38% 01.52% 713103492 25036464.00 { AKo }

I really think that his range is at best 88+, AJs+ and you could assume a random unknown folds 88, 99, 1010, AJs in this spot. Calling JJ+, AQo+. So you are a 40.6% vs 59.3% underdog to his calling range.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 59.366% 54.89% 04.48% 259384716 21177768.00 { JJ+, AQs+ }
Hand 1: 40.634% 36.15% 04.48% 170855652 21177768.00 { AKo }

Based on Lucko's emailed calculation of him folding 47% for the above range, then our equity is as follows:

47% of the time he folds and we win $66
53% x 36.15% = 19% of the time we win $414
53% x 54.89% = 29% of the time we lose $400
53% x 8.96% = 5% of the time we tie = $0

47% time win +$66 = +$31.20
19% time win +414 = +$78.66
29% time lose -$396 = -$114.84
5% of the time we tie = $0

It looks like our expectation is -$4.98 - almost neutral EV based on my range.

*****2nd EDIT: Lucko sent a follow up email after I emailed him (see below)

I corrected the fold percentage in the above calculation

Lucko's email:

"lets use your range for now: 88-AA, AKs, AKo, AQs, AQo, AJs

88-TT, AQ, AJs fold to a jam. That is 27 hands that fold.

JJ-AA and AK call. That is 30 hands that call.

So given that range, he folds 47% of the time.

47% of the time we win 66

The 53% of the time he calls we are a 40% dog.

So we have 40% of $814 or $325. We put in $396 for a loss of $71.

So 53% of the time we lose $71.

.47 * $66 = $31 win
.53 * $71 = $37 loss

-$6 of equity.

Losing play stand alone based on that raising\calling range.

That doesn't include one suited connector, no KQ's, no pairs smaller than 88. That is a very tight range and we barely lose money. In most 6 max 2/4 games I have seen, people are reraising much wider than the range you gave. If you add just a few extra hands it becomes +EV standalone. What is your reraing range there from the SB? Is it that tight? Are you never reraising sc'ers there?

Also think about what your 4-betting range is here. Is it only AA\KK? How do you think your opponents ranges will adjust to you if that is your total 4-betting range here? How do you think there range will adjust if they know you have other hands here as well? Widing your range increases the equity of your range.

Stand alone, shoving is +EV against the majority of players I have seen. When you add in the value you give your big pairs by shoving, it becomes a very +EV play.

Remember, you aren't just playing AK here, you are playing your range. At least that is how I look at it.

At lower levels where less reraising is occuring and the games tend to be a little more passive, I think you can fold here. You are just going to be folding to 76s too much for my liking. "

Lucko's explanation sounds pretty solid and has got me rethinking my "Fold" position on Question 2. Re-raising is probably slightly +EV for this situation and definitely +EV long term for your image.

The funny thing is that I am quick to re-raise against a lot of opponents that I have history with. I guess I tend to assume that an unknown opponent is a tight nit until I have some history against him which explains the difference in my thought process vs. Luckos.

It was a tough final table, but I somehow managed to squeak my way to a win after a long final 3 with surflexus and blinders.

I'm excited about playing in the BBToo TOC Australian Freeroll.

I'll try to post more tomorrow. I've got a long day of work tomorrow - gotta head to bed

I planned on posting a follow up to the AK post, but that might have to wait a couple of days. I'm swamped this week at work trying to squeeze 5+ days worth of work into 3 days.

I played some over the weekend, but haven't played many cash games hands in the last week. I'll post an update when I complete the 25k hands of 1/2 nl. (currently up a little less than 1 buy-in over around 1.5k hands I think)

Going try to play the MATH tonight since it is a turbo short handed tourney. That should be over quick one way or another.

(specifically in 6 max cash games)

I read a lot of hand advice posts on cardrunners and 2+2 and when it comes to getting all-in preflop there are a couple of hands that people always question and have differing opinions - AK and QQ. (I'll save QQ for another day.)

Getting all-in preflop in a cash game has so many variables - your image, how often you think your opponent will fold, how often your opponents has 3 or 4 bet, how often you have 3/4 bet at the table, your history with a particular player (either this session or long term), etc., etc.

There are times that I can't get my money in fast enough with AK and other times it is an easy fold to a 3 or 4 bet. I'll even just flat call pf in certain situations.

Gnome had a post earlier in the week questioning CTS getting AI PF in a cardrunners video with AK and running into AA. CTS said that it was just a cooler - some good discussion in that post.

I'm really interested on some opinions on how people would play AK in the following situations (I'll post my answers next week):

Hand 1
2/4 NL - 6 max
Just sat down at table. No reads/no data mined stats on players

Player 1 ($400)
Player 2 ($400)
Player 3 ($400)
Player 4 ($400) - Button
Player 5 ($400) - Small Blind
You ($400) - Big Blind

****Your Cards - AdKs******

Player 5 posts SB of $2
You post BB of $4
Player 1-3 folds

Button raises to $14
SB folds

Q1 - What do you do here?

---------------------------------

Hand 2
Same Hand - No reads

2/4 NL - 6 max
Just sat down at table. No reads/no data mined stats on players

Player 1 ($400)
Player 2 ($400)
Player 3 ($400)
Player 4 ($400) - Button
Player 5 ($400) - Small Blind
You ($400) - Big Blind

****Your Cards - AdKs******

Player 5 posts SB of $2
You post BB of $4
Player 1-3 folds

Button raises to $14
SB raises to $48

Q2 - What do you do here?

--------------------------------
Hand 3

Same as Hand 1 - this time with stats.
The button is 14/10/1 (VP$P, PFR%, TAF over 10,000 mostly data mined hands) and has played fairly tight with the occasional button steal, but hasn't really gotten out of line.
Your stats for 60 hands at the table are 24/16/2. You have a fairly aggressive image and have 3 bet a few times without having to show down your hand.

Q3a - Whats your move?

----------------------
Let's say that you decide to raise to $48 and the button thinks for a few seconds and makes it $152.

Q3b - What is your move?

Q3C - Same hand - this time the button is 26/19/3. What is your move now?

-----------------------

Hand 4

2/4 NL - 6 max
Just sat down at table. No reads/no data mined stats on players

Player 1 ($400)
Player 2 ($400)
Player 3 ($400)
You ($400) - Button
Player 5 ($400) - Small Blind
Player 6($400) - Big Blind

****Your Cards - AdKs******

Player 5 posts SB of $2
You post BB of $4
Player 1-3 folds

You raise to $14
SB folds
BB Raises to $48


Q4a - What's your move?

Same hand - The Big Blind is 14/10/1 (VP$P, PFR%, TAF over 1,000 mostly data mined hands) and has played fairly tight, but hasn't really gotten out of line.

Your stats for 60 hands at the table are 24/16/2. You have a fairly aggressive image and have 3 bet a few times without having to show down your hand.

Q4b - What is your move?


Q4c - Same hand - this time the button is 26/19/3. What is your move now?


Hopefully, this will stem some discussion on AK preflop in cash games. It seems like a lot of people are willing to get 100BB stacks in preflop in almost any situation with AK.

I have been messing around with the stats that are displayed on my PAHUD for cash games.

I used to only show the standard stuff:

- VP$iP (voluntarily put $ in pot)
- PFR% (pre-flop raise %)
- TAF (total aggression factor)
- Number of hands

Over time, I added some more crucial information like

- CB% (continuation bet %)
- FCB% (folds to cont. bets %)
- Aggression on each street
- W$SD (won $ at showdown)
- a few others that I added and removed over time

One thing that I had never done was show my own stats. I didn't show them to help get some of the clutter off the table. I recently cleaned up all the PAHUD stats that I use and added some of my own stats to the tables. As I have increased the number of tables that I'm playing having my own stats on the table has helped me get a better idea of my image on each table. (I used to click on my name occasionally to see what my VP$P and PFR% were on each table.) I have been a little surpised at how my stats were varying over different tables. The other night, I was running 37/28 on one table and 14/9 on another table - huge difference. I had a very LAG image on one table and a very tight image on the other.

The image below shows the stats that I display.



The line across the top of each player shows VP$P, PFR, TAF, Hands. The left of each player is CB%, FCB%, and the right side of each player is Flop, Turn, River aggression. I show all the stats except aggression by street for me on each table and it definitely helps me with my table image when I am playing 6 tables.

Anyone think that I am I missing any crucial stats?

I'm curious to see what stats other people have on their PAHUD?

Watch the 1st 3 minutes - crazy stuff.

I finally went and bought a new 24" Widescreen Samsung monitor on Friday and my eyes are loving it. I had been playing 4-6 tables on my Dell 17" WS laptop. What a difference. It also has the added feature of making me play at the desk instead of laying back in the recliner.

I played around with 6 tables on it a little and it is like night and day. I don't have to strain my eyes to see the cards, bet amounts, PAHUD stats, etc.

I didn't use it as much as I would have liked because I played a couple of the FTOPS events this weekend and decided not to play more than two tables and no cash games while playing in the FTOPS and the Gators played South Carolina on Saturday night. While I was playing the FTOPS #4 PL Holdem tourney, I made the table full screen - pretty cool but definitely overkill.

As far as the FTOPS goes, I finished in the 300s with 216 getting paid in FTOPS #4 PL Holdem and in the 1,000s in FTOPS #7 NL Holdem with 516 getting paid. I'm not sure if I will play any more of the FTOPS events. I feel like I wasted time that I could have spent playing cash games, but of course the occasional big score changes that perception quickly.

We have stuff going on almost every night this week, so I'm not sure how much poker I will get in. I'm going to play in the Mondays at the Hoy tonight , but no Mookie or Riverchasers.

Good Luck and see you at the tables.

This is not meant to be a bad beat or cooler rant post. I got that out of my system last week. (I'm up 2 buy-ins since starting back to 1/2, so no complaints.)

What are the odds of three players making a flush on the river and one of them having the straight flush? It's got to be high.


Full Tilt Poker Game #4137354397: Table La Villa (6 max) - $1/$2 - No Limit Hold'em - 2:04:37 ET - 2007/11/11
Seat 1: whaddanazzhole ($180.60)
Seat 2: Rayman776 ($202.65)
Seat 3: Mark1808 ($200)
Seat 4: cmitch ($280.15)
Seat 5: EIAYNC ($327.95)
Seat 6: daeguchoi ($189.60)
Mark1808 posts the small blind of $1
cmitch posts the big blind of $2
The button is in seat #2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to cmitch [Ks Qs]
EIAYNC folds
daeguchoi calls $2
whaddanazzhole calls $2
Rayman776 folds
Mark1808 calls $1
cmitch checks
*** FLOP *** [8s Qc 6c]
Mark1808 checks
cmitch bets $8
daeguchoi calls $8
whaddanazzhole calls $8
Mark1808 folds
*** TURN *** [8s Qc 6c] [5s]
cmitch bets $24
daeguchoi calls $24
whaddanazzhole calls $24
*** RIVER *** [8s Qc 6c 5s] [4s]
cmitch has 15 seconds left to act
cmitch bets $82
daeguchoi raises to $155.60, and is all in
whaddanazzhole calls $146.60, and is all in
cmitch calls $73.60
*** SHOW DOWN ***
daeguchoi shows [6s 7s] a straight flush, Eight high
cmitch mucks
daeguchoi wins the side pot ($18) with a straight flush, Eight high
whaddanazzhole mucks
daeguchoi wins the main pot ($540.80) with a straight flush, Eight high
whaddanazzhole is sitting out
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $561.80 Main pot $543.80. Side pot $18. | Rake $3
Board: [8s Qc 6c 5s 4s]
Seat 1: whaddanazzhole mucked [Ts 9s] - a flush, Ten high
Seat 2: Rayman776 (button) didn't bet (folded)
Seat 3: Mark1808 (small blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 4: cmitch (big blind) mucked [Ks Qs] - a flush, King high
Seat 5: EIAYNC didn't bet (folded)
Seat 6: daeguchoi showed [6s 7s] and won ($558.80) with a straight flush, Eight high

After being up and down this week, I headed into tonight up about 1/2 a buy-in for the week following a horrible week last week.

Things didn't go well last night.

*****EDIT*****: To answer one of the comments - Yes, I know I played a couple of these hands about as horribly as possible (very weak tight). This is not how I normally play. That is why I posted them - to show how poorly I was playing/tilting. I was playing not to lose instead of to win and was making bad calls. I try not to sugar coat things on the blog. I'm in a much better frame of mind today and know that I will be back on track in no time. ***********

Hand 1 - Early on in the session, I got all in as a 68% favorite with 1 card to come and lost.

Hand 2 - I'm sure that I was tilting after Hand 1 and played this hand horribly on all streets. The guy was 33/25 but his river aggression was pretty low, so it should have been an easy fold.

Hand 3 - I'm thinking the frustration got the better of me again. I got all in on the flop with two overs and a flush draw - only to be really far behind on the flop and dead on the turn.

Hand 4 - I don't think that there was any to get away from this against a shorty. Anyone fold this?

Hand 5 - DQB - The only bright spot of the night.

Overall, I wound up losing four buy-ins on the night. That puts my 2/4nl November total to down 13 buy-ins after being up 33 buy-ins last month for a net Oct-Nov of up 20 buy-ins.

October = Great. +13.5k cash games + 1.8k in rakeback = $15.3k

November to date = Horrible. -5.2k + $600 in rakeback = -$4.6k

October + November = OK +$10.7k

Oh, the joys of cash games!!!

I have looked over most of the November hands and other than the coolers and bad beats, I probably spewed close to 2-3 buy-ins from bad calls and bad timing on bluffs. I don't think that I have been playing anywhere close to my "A" game this week - clearly effected by the 1st week of November.

I have re-read my old "Slump Busting" post and it still all applies. I am going to re-read it each of the next few nights before I start playing. I'll probably stick with 4 tables more often than 6 tables.

My new plan

1. Move down to 1/2NL
2. Regain my confidence.
3. Play my "A" game each session. If I feel like I am playing bad, I'm going to take a break or stop for the night.
4. Play a minimum of 25k hands at 1/2NL before hitting 2/4NL again.
5. Try to mix a few new things into my game.
6. Shoot for a PTBB/100 of 5.0 for the duration of the 25k hands.
7. Re-watch the cardrunner cash game videos that I thought were most helpful and saved.
8. Not play cash games while watching TV and sitting in the recliner.
9. Not play cash games while watching TV and sitting in the recliner.

This shouldn't be taken as a rant or sympathy post. It is more of a self realization. I'm not happy with how I am playing this week after running ridiculously horribly last week. I know that I am a lot better than I have been playing this week and plan to prove it to myself.

My daughter will be 6 in January. I bought my Dodge Durango one month before my daughter was born. It started falling apart about 1 year ago, but I have held on to it. I have been thinking of getting a new truck for the last couple of months, but haven't had the motivation to go and deal with all the dealership BS.

Yesterday pushed me over the edge to go car shopping. I rolled down the front passenger window of my Durano to clear off some of the dew and it wouldn't roll back up. When I got to work, I tried getting it to go back up but the motor would only go down. In the process, I had rolled down and up all of my windows. The only problem was now the passenger side back seat window wouldn't roll up either. Two months ago, I had the same problem with the driver's side window and it cost $400+ to fix. Faced with spending anywhere from $400 to $800 to fix the two windows, I decided to go car shopping.

I did my best to clean up the 6 year old piece of junk that I was going to use for a trade-in and headed over to the Nissan dealership around 5:30 PM. I walked out with my New 2008 Nissan Titan LE a mere 5 hours later. We had a deal by 7:45 and all the other stuff took until 10 pm to complete.

I'm loving the new truck. I've never had a fully loaded vehicle before. I don't have to worry about it breaking down and I won't be embarrassed by the loud squeaking noise of my Durango any more.

I ran across a link to this YouTube vid on the cardrunner forums. It was pointed out in that post that Brad Booth mentions how important table selection is then sits down to play heads up against cts (aka muckemsayahh).

LOL. Good Table Selection = sitting with one of the best high stakes heads up online players.

I just watched ThePokerFilm and thought it was pretty good. I'm sure most people that read my blog have already heard about the documentary about a group of college kids that have won a ridiculous amount of money playing online (and live) poker and the $10k drinking bet.

I'm glad that online poker wasn't around when I was in college. I don't think that I had the right mentality for it back then. I can't even imagine what it would have been like to have such a sick amount of $$ to throw around with little to no expenses. I remember betting $100 on a football game in college worrying where I would get the money if I lost. (I used to bet $10-$20 a game in college.)

In college, there was nothing like driving an extra 2 miles because the beer was $0.50 cheaper/six pack and calculating exactly how much change I would have to scrape together for the sales tax. Something these guys definitely don't have to worry about.

Go check it out.

ThePokerFilm.com - click on videos

***Warning - Rant Post**** :)

Wow - crazy, crazy weekend. I think that I jinxed myself by posting my October graph (at end of month and each week.) Maybe I should stop posting graphs when I'm doing well. It seems to trip a bad beat/cooler switch. ;)

I try to steer clear of going on and on about bad beats and coolers, but this weekend has been ridiculous. It is the kind of stuff that Fuel55 usually posts.

I just had set under set twice in less than 5 minutes on two different tables for close to three buy-ins total. (set of Queens under set of Aces and set of 10s under set of Qs).

Friday night was even more brutal with suckouts left and right - including KK losing to QQ with a Q on the river.

All in all, I lost 8 buy-ins so far this weekend.

Some Hands (followed by the PokerEV all-in Graph from Friday night)

http://www.pokerhand.org/?1661948 - QQQ vs AAA

http://www.pokerhand.org/?1661949 - 101010 vs QQQ

http://www.pokerhand.org/?1661747 - Only against a shorty, but this is how my luck was running

http://www.pokerhand.org/?1661713 - Don't usually make this call, but this guy was a little fishy. He hits his flush.

http://www.pokerhand.org/?1661501 - AA vs. 66 - standard

http://www.pokerhand.org/?1658225 - KK vs QQ - all-in on the flop. Queen on the river.

http://www.pokerhand.org/?1658219 - Make a loose call 0f a 3 bet with 7c8c. I hit my straight on the turn after he checks the flop. The river fills him up.

http://www.pokerhand.org/?1656348 - SB vs. BB - AKs against JJ - no help.

http://www.pokerhand.org/?1656345 - 666 vs. 999.

Edit: http://www.pokerhand.org/?1665405 - Adding this one from tonight.

http://www.pokerhand.org/?1665684

There were many more. You get the idea.

I guess this is where I should say something like....

The sun will come out tomorrow. The sun will come out tomorrow. Tomorrow there'll be sun.

Anyway, I still have a hefty bankroll for 2/4. If this keeps up I may take some time off from cash games and try my luck at tourneys some.

EDIT: After a night of sleep and a review of the hands, it's all good. I really think that I only spewed less than 1 buy-in which isn't bad in light of all the beats and suckouts.

If I look at this weekend with October then I am still up $10k, so life is good.

I'll be back at it and will stop the rant posts. :)

The reason that I posted this hand was because I felt like I played it horribly.

I appreciate everyone's feedback. I think I agree with WillWonka. "Folding > Pushing/Re-rasiing > Calling."

I managed to do the worst possible thing on the turn - flat calling against an aggressive player knowing that I am going to face a big river bet no matter what card comes out.

I am probably folding this hand in a normal situation. I just flat called because I had position on the river, we had both been playing back at each other, in his eyes I could have any ATC because I am on the button, and I felt like a big part of his range included a ton of draws (flush, straight, pair and flush draw, etc.). I wanted to see what he would do on the river.

The worst possible river card came and he insta-potted it. I definitely had to fold to the river bet even if he was bluffing because the Ace hits so many hands in his range. The nut flush draw is now an overpair, AJ, Ac9c, Ac2c, etc, etc, etc.

I don't know what he had but am confident that I was beat. I guess folding the turn was probably the best option.


FullTiltPoker Game #4010177777: Table Alta (6 max) - $2/$4 - No Limit Hold'em - 0:13:49 ET - 2007/10/30
Seat 2: Zsolti ($507.10)
Seat 3: easyway777 ($542.10)
Seat 4: emsheat6 ($0), is sitting out
Seat 5: cmitch ($1,028.90)
Seat 6: bangoo ($876.35)
bangoo posts the small blind of $2
Zsolti posts the big blind of $4
The button is in seat #5
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to cmitch [Qd Qh]
easyway777 folds
cmitch raises to $14
jpriceless sits down
bangoo calls $12
Zsolti folds
*** FLOP *** [Jc 3c 9s]
jpriceless adds $160
bangoo checks
cmitch bets $24
bangoo calls $24
*** TURN *** [Jc 3c 9s] [4h]
bangoo checks
jpriceless stands up
cmitch bets $56
emsheat6 adds $150
bangoo raises to $184
emsheat6 has returned
cmitch calls $128
*** RIVER *** [Jc 3c 9s 4h] [Ad]
mmmm9999111 sits down
bangoo bets $388
mmmm9999111 adds $400
cmitch has 15 seconds left to act
cmitch has requested TIME
cmitch folds
Uncalled bet of $388 returned to bangoo
bangoo mucks
bangoo wins the pot ($446)
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $448 | Rake $2
Board: [Jc 3c 9s 4h Ad]
Seat 2: Zsolti (big blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 3: easyway777 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 4: emsheat6 is sitting out
Seat 5: cmitch (button) folded on the River
Seat 6: bangoo (small blind) collected ($446), mucked