Poker Ramblings of cmitch

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I am close to finishing the first 25K hands of the 50K Hands Challenge at 1/2nl before moving on to 2/4nl. I don't know what to say about the last 9k hands since the last update. It has been a roller coaster. The graph of the last 9k hands shows how much variance there is in short handed cash games.

I went back through the hand histories for the big downswings in the graph and I could have probably saved about $650 by laying down a couple of marginal hands.

1. I got all in preflop with KK vs. AA against a player that was playing very tight against me but very aggressive against the rest of the players at the table. I was about $500 deep and he was around $300 deep. I couldn't really see him getting all-in preflop with AK based on how he had been playing against me. I think that it was one spot that you could make a case for folding KK preflop.

2. The 2nd hand that I could have laid down was AA in the BB hand. EP raiser, button calls. I raise it up substantially. Flop comes Qs10s5h. I lead out for about 80% of the pot. EP raiser jams. I call and lose to set of 10s. I was about $600 deep and he was $350 deep.

I should have probably laid down both of those hands, but hindsight is 20/20. Hopefully, I can avoid the same situations in the future.

As far as the rest of the big down dips go, let's just say I lost more than my fair share of hands where I got the money in as a huge favorite and ran KK into AA three times.

A few examples of some of the big hits:

1. I got all-in on the flop two times with top two pair vs. and overpair and then the board paired.

2. I got all-in on a dry flop after flopping a set. My opponent spiked a set with his overpair.

3. I got all-in on the flop with top set vs. an overpair. My opponent made runner runner straight.

I could go on and on but enough whining. I plan on kicking things up a notch for the next 6k hands.

50K Hands Challenge
Hands Goal - 25,000 hands in 1 month; 5 ptbb/100
Hands Current - 19,126 hands; 2.03 ptbb/100
Total current profit/loss = +$1,5557.45

The 1st graph (hands since last update) shows the variance involved in cash games and why you need to have a proper bankroll to weather the swings. (FWIW - my bankroll is in really good shape even after having to withdraw a decent amount for the kid's back to school stuff.)

Graph of all hands since the beginning of the challenge. The swing over the last 9k hands doesn't look nearly as brutal in the overall scheme of things.

3 responses to "50K Hands Update - Close to 20K Hands"

  1. Good Luck with that challenge. I also want to thank you for your post on 3-betting and that link to CTS's post. I tried it out and had some good success with it.

    Story over on my blog if you're interested.



  2. yo Mitch. thx for posting your progress. the swings in cash games can get frustrating.

    at the rate your going, i guess you'll be around +$4k when you get 50k hands at 1/2.


  3. I still can't figure out why you are playing 1-2NL. I mean I know it's part of the challenge but you'll be killing 2-4NL too. If I can do it, I KNOW you can.

    Alan aka RecessRampage